Kathmandu, May 31
Prime Minister and
Chairman of CPN (UML) KP Sharma Oli is a leader who propagates 'ambitious
planning' and 'sets up high targets' in development outline, including in the
annual budgets of the government.
However, his staunch supporter
Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister and Vice-Chair of CPN (UML), Bishnu
Prasad Paudel, announced 'less ambitious' – in his words, a 'realistic' budget
for the next Fiscal Year 2025/26.
Given the significant
financial constraints, this moderation was anticipated as the Finance Ministry
had made its intentions clear during the budget formulation.
DPM Paudel appeared to
be contended while facing a large group of journalists a day after he presented
the budget of Rs. 1,964.11 billion for the upcoming fiscal year. Although the
media briefing on Friday was a ritual, it is the time when the Finance Minister
is grilled by journalists as the latter dig the motive behind the allocations
to certain sectors or no allocation to others.
Amidst the growing
development aspirations and financing needs for three-tier federal government structure,
the Finance Minister has been facing a challenge to maintain a balance between
the sources of income and expenditures. Expanding social security expenditure
is another issue of worry.
Ministry of Physical
Infrastructure and Transport (MoPIT), Ministry of Urban Development (MoUD),
Ministry of Energy, Water Resources and Irrigation (MoEWRI) and Ministry of
Water Supply (MoWS) are the major development ministries while Ministry of
Education, Ministry of Health, Ministry of Tourism and Ministry of Industry
also mobilise significant portions of development budget.
National Development
Research Institute, in its analysis of budgets of FY 2011/12 to 2023/24, has concluded
that a significant portion of the budget is allocated
to public services.
According to it, a substantial 36 per cent
of the budget of fiscal year 2023/24 has been designated solely for general
administration expenses, whereas less than half, a mere 17 per cent, has been
allocated for development and construction expenses.
The same report observed that there was inefficient
utilisation of the allocated 17 per cent. The country has long been facing the
challenges of meagre resource allocation to development and its poor
utilisation (see table). Budget performance of the MoPIT that mobilises
the largest share of the capital allocation hovered at around 71 per cent for
the last decade.
Budget size and capital allocation from
FY 2016/17 to FY 2025/26 (Rs. in billion)
Fiscal Year
|
Budget Size
|
Capital Allocation
|
MoPIT's Share
|
PoPIT's performance
|
2016/17
|
1,048
|
208
|
88
|
65
|
2017/18
|
1,278
|
278
|
113
|
87
|
2018/19
|
1,315
|
313
|
124
|
92
|
2019/20
|
1,532
|
408
|
161
|
115
|
2020/21
|
1,474
|
352
|
138
|
98
|
2021/22
|
1,647
|
378
|
136
|
94
|
2022/23
|
1,793
|
380
|
143
|
101
|
2023/24
|
1,751
|
302
|
135
|
89
|
2024/25
|
1,860
|
352
|
144
|
98 (est.)
|
2025/26
|
1,964
|
407
|
152
|
-
|
Source: Budget
Speeches, MoF & MoPIT
In the last 10 years since the new constitution came into force,
more than 80 per cent of the budget has been spent only in three years. In the
last 13 years, an average of 84.76 per cent has been spent under recurrent
headings, an average of 67.80 per cent under capital headings, and an average
of 81.52 per cent under financial management.
It emerges that only 80.58
per cent has been spent on average.
Defence, peace and security, and entertainment, culture, and
religion have seen more spending as per the allocation, but less than 80 per
cent has been spent in the capital construction sector.
There are problems in formulation, lack of efficiency in allocation,
excessive demand compared to resources, and a tendency to demand budget for
projects that have not met the prerequisites for implementation and have not
been studied, a former high official of the Finance Ministry said.
Trend to set high
targets and adjust in mid-year
According to
economists and development experts, what is more worrisome for the economy is
the tendency to announce a large budget by including populist programmes and
bring down the annual estimates during the mid-term review in February every
year. It has become a common characteristic of the fiscal policy for the past
several years.
For example, the
government adjusted the budget of this FY 2024/25 to Rs. 1,692 billion from Rs.
1,860 billion – 90.99 per cent of the total estimates – on the pretext of poor
capital expenditure, inadequate revenue collection and realisation of foreign
loans and grants.
The budget was slashed
by 12.62 per cent last year 2023/24 as well to bring the budget size to Rs.
1,530 billion from Rs. 1,751 billion. The meagre capital budget of just Rs.
352.35 billion was reduced to Rs. 299.50 billion. In the first six months, the
government had spent only 16 per cent of the total development budget. While
only one-and-a-half months remain of this fiscal, the utilisation of
development budget has reached only 37 per cent.
Since the budget of
this fiscal year was designed and announced by Barsha Man Pun, Finance Minister
of the coalition government led by CPN (Maoist Centre), DPM Paudel could term
it 'overly ambitious' and 'problematic' for implementation. But he will be in
no luxury to downsize the budget of the next year during mid-term review.
DPM Paudel said that the budget of the next
year addresses various development holdups such as scattering the funds. He cut
the budget of the 4,654 projects in order to secure
funds for more important projects.
The government has put forward various policy reforms with the aim
of promoting economic growth by balancing public expenditure and development
activities for the upcoming fiscal year, according to him.
Reforms in project management
Through the budget, the government has made an attempt to diversify
resource mobilisation by adopting a policy of utilising alternative development
finance. It is believed that this will help in financial access for long-term
infrastructure development.
Project management and procurement processes are being improved in
line with the goal of increasing capital expenditure.
In particular, arrangements have been made to start the procurement
process after May 30 (a day after announcement of the budget), and monitoring
of projects larger than Rs. 250 million through a national dashboard is
expected to improve transparency and performance.
A threshold of Rs. 30 million has been implemented for federal
projects strictly in the budget, and limiting grants to a maximum of 50 per cent
of the cost will contribute to cost control and planning effectiveness, he said.
Likewise, the projects
that have completed preparatory steps such as land acquisition and forest
clearance will be moved to the procurement phase. To accelerate project
execution, contract agreements will include provisions for three-shift work
arrangements.
DPM Paudel also
announced that the Public Procurement Act will be amended and electronic
procurement system will be implemented to ensure timely, cost-effective and
quality completion of infrastructure projects. Development assistance would be
mobilised to large infrastructure projects like Dudhkoshi and Upper Arun
through co-cofinancing from multiple donor agencies.
Other development
management provisions include holding the responsible official accountable if
project costs increased or abnormal liabilities are created due to delayed and
flawed decisions and specification.
In addition, efforts have been made to balance current expenditure
through a policy of controlling contingency and consultant costs and adopting
frugality.
Making balanced budgets mandatory at the provincial and local levels
and simplifying land use in forest areas will contribute to inclusive
development.
Similarly, the proposal for policy reforms to promote foreign
investment will create an environment for injecting foreign capital into the
economy. All these initiatives are aimed at ensuring good governance,
transparency, and sustainable development overall, said DPM Paudel.
The Finance Ministry
is also set to ensure a match between the project bank and the Line Ministry
Budget Information System (LMBIS). All mismatch would be removed before taking
any project into implementation, Shree Krishna Nepal, Chief of Budget Division
at the MoF, said the other day.
With these development policy reforms and extended list of private
sector facilitation – including concessional loan, reduction in customs duty
and charges for space at the Special Economic Zones – DPM Paudel said he is in
a position to assure the country that the budget of the next fiscal would make
impacts on the economy.
Challenge to mobilise capital budget
Prof Dr. Ram Prasad Ganwaly, Head of the
Central Department of Economics, Tribhuvan University, said the budget for the
upcoming fiscal year sticks to fiscal discipline.
He termed the policy to increase
the age limit for receiving senior citizen allowance to 70 years a 'bold move'
which will positively contribute to the economy.
The government has included
many suggestions provided by the High-Level Economic Sector Reform Advisory Commission
in the budget, said Ganwaly who was also a member of the Commission.
Through the budget, the government has
tried to reduce the rerecurrent expenditure and increase the capital
expenditure which is essential for higher growth.
Of the total allocation of Rs. 1964.11
billion, Rs. 1,180.98 billion (60.1 per cent) is allocated for recurrent
expenditure, Rs. 407.89 billion (20.8 per cent) for capital expenditure, and Rs.
375.24 billion (19.1 per cent) for financing arrangements.
Of the total budget of Rs. 1860.40 billion
of the current fiscal year, around 61.31 per cent has been allocated for
recurrent expenditure, 18.94 per cent for capital expenditure and 19.74 per
cent for financing.
In terms of revenue collection, the
projection of Rs. 1,315 billion for the upcoming fiscal year is also practical
based on the estimation of the current fiscal year, said Ganwaly.
Former
Finance Minister Janardan Sharma, while agreeing with DPM Paudel termed the
budget 'realistic' but questioned the bases that would boost expenditure next
year. Speaking at the post-budget discussion programme organised by the Nepal
Association of Financial Journalists (NAFIJ) in Kathmandu on Saturday, he said,
"The government should be serious about achieving the targets set by the
budget. It also has a challenge to change the situation of 10 times higher
imports than exports."
Pro-private
sector budget
Through the budget, the government has
addressed almost all the demands raised by the private sector.
The budget has proposed various discounts
and concessions for industries ranging from export-oriented industries to information
technology-based industries, hotels and resorts.
The government has announced to give tariff exemptions to
information technology-based industries, hotels and resorts.
Similarly, an arrangement for a 75 per cent tax exemption on income
derived from the export of information technology services. A provision has
been made to exempt income taxes for startup businesses with an annual turnover
of up to Rs. 100 million for five years.
The government has abolished other taxes and duties by imposing only
1 per cent customs duty on the import of mill machinery required for wood
seasoning industry, removed customs duties and abolished other taxes and duties
on the import of equipment required for the production of organic and natural
fertilisers.
A 1 per cent customs duty has been imposed on the import of
equipment, tools and sports materials required for the construction of
infrastructure for football, cricket and multi-purpose stadiums, abolishing all
other taxes.
The government has made arrangements to exempt all types of taxes
and duties on machinery and equipment imported for green hydrogen production
industry for five years.
Provision of only 1 per cent customs duty has been introduced on the
import of batteries and other equipment required to store electricity from
solar and wind energy.
DPM Paudel also said that the budget has been introduced with the
aim of encouraging the private sector to invest.
"In addition, such things have been introduced in the budget
for the upcoming fiscal year with the aim of motivating the private sector to
invest and facilitating investment in projects."
In the meantime, the private sector leaders appreciated the budget
citing that it would encourage private sector investment.
"If private sector investment cannot increase even after
providing so many tax exemptions for industries and businesses, how can the
government expect the private sector to accelerate the country's economy
further?" economist Dr. Ganwaly said.
He expressed hope that private sector investment would increase and
help achieve the targeted economic growth of around 6 per cent in the coming
fiscal year.
Published in The Rising Nepal daily on 1 June 2025 (prepared jointly with Laxman Kafle).