Sunday, April 14, 2019

15th Plan expects Rs. 5,135 bn investment from private sector


Kathmandu, Apr. 6:
The fifteenth plan (Fiscal Year 2019/20 – 2024/25) has estimated that the private sector would invest Rs. 5,135 billion, 55.5 per cent of the total investment needed, in the five-year period.

As per the projections of the National Planning Commission (NPC) – the apex planning body in the country, about Rs. 9,246 would be invested in the next five years.

The NPC maintained that in order to achieve the targeted economic growth and prosperity and make Nepal a developing country by 2022 and a middle-income country by 2030, investment of that size was required.

The highest investment from the private sector is expected in energy and water, transportation and communication, real estate and manufacturing industries.

About Rs. 755 billion would be invested in energy and water from the private sector. Similarly, Rs.733 billion, Rs. 689 billion and Rs. 553 billion would be invested in transportation and communication, real estate, and manufacturing industries respectively.

About 90 per cent of the total investment in hotel and restaurants, and real estate and business activities is expected from the private sector.

Trade and manufacturing sectors are other areas which demand high private sector investment over the next five years, according to the draft of the plan which will come into execution after getting approval from the Cabinet in the near future.

Likewise, the government is expected to put in highest stakes in energy and water, transportation, storage and communication, education and agriculture and forest. It will invest Rs. 966 billion in energy and water, Rs. 1,053 billion in transportation, storage and communication, 294 billion in education and 413 billion in agriculture and forest. All these sectors will witness more public investment than the private one.

Sector-wise, the government will invest more in agriculture while the private sector in industry and service sector.

Similarly, about 13.8 per cent investment in agriculture, 3.3 per cent in industry and 5.3 per cent in service is expected from the cooperatives sector.

Experts have mixed reactions over the size of private investment expected over the five years.
Former Vice-Chairman of the NPC Dipendra Bahadur Chhetri said that expecting more from the private sector was a positive sign but the government needed to create better investment and business climate to attract the desired investment.

He suggested creating opportunities for the youth in the village, maintaining reliable energy supply, improving the policy regime and executing better regulations for the service sector, if the government had to attract higher investment from the private sector.

Business community, which is encouraged by the recent policy reform made to improve the business environment in the country, said that the private sector would invest more but said that the government needed to put its efforts to increase the efficiency of the government institutions and ensure the protection of investment.

The government is also hopeful that the policy reform will attract more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the country will see more economic activities happening.

Estimates of the total investment
Areas
Amt (Rs. in bn)
Govt (%)
Private (%)
Coop (%)
Agriculture
813.75
51.6
34.6
13.8
Industry
3,154.61
42.0
54.7
3.3
Service
5,278.02
35.4
59.3
5.3
Total
9,246.39
39.1
55.5
5.4
Source: Draft of the 15th plan


Published in The Rising Nepal daily on 7 April 2019. 

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