Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Attempt to apply balm on bruises in business, economy

Monetary Policy 2020/21

Kathmandu, Jul 18

The central bank has drawn unprecedented appreciation for the Monetary Policy 2020/21 for its efforts to address the needs of the businesses during the COVID-19 crisis, provide relief to citizens and revive the economy.

Business organisations like the Federation of Nepalese Chambers of Commerce and Industry, Confederation of Nepalese Industries, Nepal Chamber of Commerce and businesses of various scales have welcomed the policy and expressed hope that it would support in rehabilitating the industry and bringing the economy back on track of high growth.

All stakeholders said that rescheduling and restructuring of loan and extension of loan repayment period for the severely hit businesses like the tourism sector were timely and effective measures to help them in enduring the shocks inflicted by the pandemic.

The policy is announced in critical time with a special purpose to revive and rehabilitate the businesses, they said.

The pandemic caused a severe repercussions on the economy sending about 70 per cent businesses and industries off the operation while bringing the tourism and other service sectors like transportation, aviation and education to a complete halt. According to primary estimation, about 1.8 million jobs were affected and hundreds of thousands will be permanently lost.

The private sector is desperately seeking financial and other supports to save and revive the businesses. The Monetary Policy brought out in such a situation has tried to soothe the bruises in the economy and business, said the experts.

The FNCCI officially welcomed the policy announced by the Governor of the Nepal Rastra Bank Maha Prasad Adhikari the other day through a Nepal Television broadcast.

"Extension of the loan repayment period of the due of mid-July 2020 for the least affected, moderately and severely affected businesses to mid-January 2021, mid-April 2021 and mid-July 2021 is a welcome step," said the business body in a statement on Saturday.

It maintained that the increased credit to core-capital plus deposit (CCD) ratio would help in increasing liquidity in the system while the provision to allow the banks and financial institutions (BFIs) to mobilise 20 per cent additional loan in the existing capital loan would provide relief to the private sector.

The FNCCI also appreciated the mandatory lending provisions for the agriculture and energy sectors and investment by the BFIs in the micro, small and medium scale industries.

Former Governor of the Nepal Rastra Bank Deependra Bahadur Kshetry appreciated the policy and said that all the expectations of the private sector except automobile business were met by it.

"The central bank should immediately form a task-force to implement the monetary policy. It is announced in a good spirit but poor implementation can destroy the good intentions of the NRB," he said in different interactions on Saturday.

But he said that although steps taken in terms of loan rescheduling and restructuring for short-term, medium-term and long-term were good, it was not clear who would evaluate the loans.

Kshetry suggested that every bank must enable their branches to expand the concessional loans and other investment facilities, and strong measures should be devised for the same.

He recommended a periodic policy dialogue among the stakeholders to follow up the policy implementation and resolve the problems.

Coordinator of Banking Committee at the Confederation of Nepalese Industries (CNI) Anal Raj Bhattarai lauded the policy saying that it included all the instruments needed and could be mobilised to restore the economy and business sectors.

"It has planned to put efforts to rehabilitate the businesses. CNI welcomes the monetary policy," he said.

Chairperson of the Banking Committee at the FNCCI Saurabh Jyoti also said that the policy included most of the recommendations made by the private sector and was likely to help support the businesses in crisis.

"The industries that remained shut for three months need liquidity which I think will be addressed by the adjusted CCD rates and other provisions of refinancing," he said.

Vice-President of the Federation of the FNCCI Chandra Prasad Dhakal appreciated the policy for its efforts to address the problems in every business sector from services to manufacturing. He said that the policy should be implemented in a way that the small and medium scale enterprises in the districts could be benefitted.

Vice-President of the Nepal Chamber of Commerce Kamlesh Agrawal echoed the same voice and said, "I urge the NRB to simplify the refinancing provisions in order to provide the much needed boost to the economy. Complex process will leave the SMEs helpless and will not help in business revival."

He also said that the central bank missed setting the lending rates and left it to the decision of the BFIs.

However, the FNCCI and other experts said that the monetary policy failed to meet the expectations of the private sector to credit recovery policy to help the entrepreneurs raise their money stuck in the market and exit from the business. Jyoti said that about 20 per cent businesses were estimated to have gone bankrupt and were seeking exit from the market. "They need a better exit policy including the credit recovery policy," he maintained.

President of the Confederation of Bank and Financial Institutions Nepal Pawan Kumar Golyan said that more clarity was needed in terms of the instruments like the special-purpose vehicle announced to support the severely affected areas like tourism.

Loan to the highly affected areas can be restructured through the instruments like private equity, venture capital, debt equity conversion and special purpose vehicle if the restructuring and rescheduling are not enough to rehabilitate the businesses.

Published in The Rising Nepal daily on 19 July 2020. 

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